Saudi economy 'buoyant' but growth to slow this year, says IMF
Source: BI-ME with Reuters , Author: Posted by BI-ME staff
Posted: Wed May 30, 2012 6:12 pm

SAUDI ARABIA. Saudi Arabia's oil-dependent economy should remain "buoyant," although growth is forecast to slow this year given uncertainties over the euro zone debt crisis and a decline in crude prices, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.

In its annual review of the world's top oil producer, the IMF said growth was likely to slow to 6%, down from 7.1% last year.

Inflation would likely remain at around 5%, although the IMF urged Saudi authorities to monitor it closely for signs of economic overheating, the Fund added.

High oil prices and increased state spending ignited a boom in the Saudi economy last year. But worries about the debt crisis in the euro zone and easing growth in China, a major importer of Saudi oil, are expected to weigh on Saudi growth.

The IMF said the outlook for the Saudi economy was subject to "some uncertainty" given the prospect of lower oil prices.

It said Saudi Arabia's fiscal and external surpluses should hit 17% and 27% of gross domestic product this year, respectively.

 

MIDDLE EAST BUSINESS COMMENT & ANALYSIS

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INTERNATIONAL. We have entered a new chapter in the history of central banking. This paradigm shift changes the policy tools that have traditionally defined the sphere of macroeconomic decision-making; We have built an economy that is now so leveraged that it needs zero percent interest rates just to tread water.
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INTERNATIONAL. World Bank report spells out the repercussions of the political uncertainty and restrictions on movement and access and recommends remedial actions by all parties.
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EGYPT. Qalaa Holdings' Hisham El-Khazindar discusses Egypt's economic prospects at Euromoney Conference.
SAUDI ARABIA. Saudi Arabia will need to keep cutting oil output to sustain prices above US$100 a barrel, according to BNP Paribas and Societe Generale; "We are swimming in crude, and they know that better than anyone because they are the biggest exporter."
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