Saudi economy 'buoyant' but growth to slow this year, says IMF
Source: BI-ME with Reuters , Author: Posted by BI-ME staff
Posted: Wed May 30, 2012 6:12 pm

SAUDI ARABIA. Saudi Arabia's oil-dependent economy should remain "buoyant," although growth is forecast to slow this year given uncertainties over the euro zone debt crisis and a decline in crude prices, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.

In its annual review of the world's top oil producer, the IMF said growth was likely to slow to 6%, down from 7.1% last year.

Inflation would likely remain at around 5%, although the IMF urged Saudi authorities to monitor it closely for signs of economic overheating, the Fund added.

High oil prices and increased state spending ignited a boom in the Saudi economy last year. But worries about the debt crisis in the euro zone and easing growth in China, a major importer of Saudi oil, are expected to weigh on Saudi growth.

The IMF said the outlook for the Saudi economy was subject to "some uncertainty" given the prospect of lower oil prices.

It said Saudi Arabia's fiscal and external surpluses should hit 17% and 27% of gross domestic product this year, respectively.

 

MIDDLE EAST BUSINESS COMMENT & ANALYSIS

date:Posted: November 26, 2014
UAE. "In the final months of 2014, we expect further increases in occupancy rates, with the pleasant weather attracting more tourists, alongside the seasonal increase in events and conferences."
date:Posted: November 25, 2014
INTERNATIONAL. In the end, it is unlikely that the territorial Islamic State can survive. The truth is that Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia are all waiting for the U.S. to solve the problem with air power and a few ground forces. These actions will not destroy IS, but they will break the group's territorial coherence.
date:Posted: November 25, 2014
BAHRAIN. The "increasingly deregulated and competitive economic environment is facilitating rapid growth in business development within the private sector."
UAE. An advisory body to the UAE government has suggested that the central bank review the country's currency peg to the U.S. dollar, but local bankers said any change to the peg remained very unlikely for the foreseeable future.
dhgate