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Gold lackluster in 'calm before storm'
Source: BullionVault.com , Author: Adrian Ash
Posted: Thu May 3, 2012 7:05 pm

INTERNATIONAL. The price of gold in wholesale trading slipped to a new 1-week low at US$1640 per ounce in London on Thursday as the US Dollar rose and crude oil slipped again.

Ahead of Friday's much-anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls report for April, weekly data showed a fall in the number of jobless benefit claimants.

Spain meantime sold €1.6 billion of new 3- and 5-year government debt, paying 1.4 percentage points more in interest than at the last time of asking.

A sale of €5 billion in new government debt in France, where current president Sarkozy looked set to lose this weekend's election to Socialist candidate Hollande, meantime drew a greater excess of investor demand than at the last sale in April, with interest rates falling slightly on 9- and 10-year debt.

The Euro held at $1.3130 – right in the middle of the last month's tight 2.5¢ range.

With trading volume now lower for longer than any time since late 2007, US stock market futures pointed 0.2% higher after the Dow Jones Industrial Average yesterday slipped back from 4-year highs.

Slipping in line with the gold price, silver fell back to US$30.40 per ounce.

"In this lackluster environment, it seems like the gold bullion market is in need of more than just resilience," says a note from Swiss refining and finance group MKS.

"[The gold price] has FLAT LINED on a closing basis," says the latest technical analysis from Russell Browne at Scotia Mocatta in New York, "staying glued between 1635 and 1670 over the past month.

"This sideways consolidation is the calm prior to the next storm...The long-term bullish trend line comes in near 1630 on daily chart."

Over in India in contrast – the world's #1 gold consuming nation – "Gold traders have extended their positions in futures market as prices of the precious metal in spot market touched an all-time high," reports the Economic Times.

Touching INR 29,690 per 10 grams today, the gold price for Indian wholesalers has now recovered 2012's early 10% fall to reach a series of fresh all-time highs this week.

Amid a wave of strikes and protests by Indian jewellers against this year's duty and tax rises, last month's Akshaya Tritiya festival failed to stoke consumer demand, says the Bombay Bullion Association, with gold bullion imports falling to just 30 tonnes from April 2011's level of 90 tonnes.

Helping gold rise, the Rupee fell further again on the FX market Thursday, extending this week's drop vs. the US Dollar to more than 1% and erasing the last of 2012's rally so far.

"The financing of the current account deficit will continue to pose a major challenge," the Reserve Bank of India recently noted in a policy statement.

"Lot of new positions has been created in [Indian gold ftures ] after traders noticed sharp rise," Money Life quotes Badruddin Khan, researcher at Angel Broking & Commodities.

"The momentum is likely to be continued with a back-up of Dollar appreciation."

Back in Europe, where the European Central Bank today left its key interest rate unchanged at 1.0% for the sixth month running, factory-gate inflation in the 17-nation Eurozone slipped to 3.3% per year in April, new data showed.

Here in the UK, where the ruling coalition's Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties were both expecting "dismal"  results in local council elections on Thursday, house prices showed a near 1% annual slip on the Nationwide index.

In London, precious metals consultancy GFMS – now part of the Thomson Reuters news group – said the surplus of available metal over demand rose sharply in both platinum and palladium in 2011, thanks to stockpile sales and weak auto demand, especially in Europe.

Silver bullion stockpiles yesterday retreated further on Wednesday from this week's 25-year record highs, with the withdrawal of half-a-million ounces of "eligible" metal – which qualifies for settlement in Comex futures, but isn't made available by the owner – taken out of approved depository storage.

Adrian Ash is head of research at BullionVault, the secure, low-cost gold and silver market for private investors online, where you can buy gold today vaulted in Zurich on US$3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2012

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

For more information, please visit BullionVault.

(c) BullionVault 2012

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it

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MIDDLE EAST BUSINESS COMMENT & ANALYSIS

date:Posted: April 17, 2014
KUWAIT. According to a newly released report by Kuwait Finance House Research, the global sukuk market saw a modest volume of US$31.14 billion in new sukuk issuances in 1Q2014. This volume represents a drop of 9.82% compared to US$34.53 billion worth of issuances in 1Q13.
date:Posted: April 16, 2014
INTERNATIONAL. The WGC pointed out that the Chinese bank savings amount to US$7.5 trillion but only about US$300 billionn is allocated to gold, signifying the potential for gold demand to grow as Chinese wealth climbs.
date:Posted: April 16, 2014
UAE. "A similar drop to 2013 is unlikely. Those who wanted to get out of gold did, and the rest of 2014 will probably be a year of sideways trading."
dhgate