'We never got out of the first recession,' says Jim Rogers
Source: BI-ME , Author: Poste by BI-ME staff
Posted: Wed August 25, 2010 10:24 pm



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INTERNATIONAL. Legendary global investor and chairman of Singapore-based Rogers Holdings, Jim Rogers said the global economy is at the risk of prolonging a recession after reports over the past two days showed US home sales plunged by a record and Japan’s export growth slowed for a fifth month in July.

Speaking to Bloomberg in a phone interview from Singapore on Tuesday, Rogers said:  “We never got out of the first recession.”

“If the US and Europe continue to slow down, that’s going to affect everyone," he added.

The legendary investor doesn't subscribe to the idea that China can lead the world out of recession.

"The Chinese economy is 1/10 of the U.S. and Europe, and India is a quarter of China, they can’t bail us out,” he said.

Rogers advised China and other global economies should increase interest rates to contain a surge in inflation.

“Everyone should be raising interest rates, they are too low worldwide,” he said.

“If the world economy gets better, that’s good for commodities demand. If the world economy does not get better, stocks are going to lose a lot as governments will print more money.”

Rogers has been saying, in recent interviews with various media channels,  that there will be another recession, probably in 2012.

While he doesn’t call this a double dip, he does say that “the next time it’s going to be worse because we’ve shot all of our bullets.”

"With zero interest rates and huge government deficits all around, policy options are definitely more limited," he recently said.

In a recent interview with Campaign for Liberty, when asked what he would do if the was President, the legendary investor said: I would abolish the Federal Reserve. I would cut taxes. I would cut spending in a draconian manner. A very draconian manner. The idea that you can solve a problem of too much debt and too much consumption, with more debt and more consumption, defies comprehension".

Rogers has spent a career being one step ahead of mainstream investment thinking.  He rose to fame after co-founding the now-closed Quantum Fund with George Soros nearly four decades ago. During his ten years with the fund, the portfolio gained more than 4,000%, while the S&P rose less than 50%.

The Quantum Fund shot to fame after making more than US$1 billion betting against the British Pound in the early 1990s.

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MIDDLE EAST BUSINESS COMMENT & ANALYSIS

date:Posted: May 23, 2013
UAE. Stock market indices racing ahead but GDP figures do not support the euphoria and commodity outflows fuel the rally; Is there too much liquidity in the banking system?
date:Posted: May 23, 2013
UAE. While new orders continued to rise sharply, the rate of increase eased to the slowest in a year. Meanwhile, employment levels rose at the fastest pace in two years.
date:Posted: May 22, 2013
iNTERNATIONAL. Control over Homs will enable al Assad to rapidly move forces from the north to the south to meet emerging rebel threats. It will also provide a key avenue of retreat to the Alawite coast in the event that he needs to flee Damascus.
UAE. "There is a substantial amount of debt that is coming due in the next few years, and it will be important to manage pro-actively that process. Information and communication with potential market participants will be a key part of this."



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